March 4, 2021

GIL

Daily Global New Media

Review: The Accidental Superpower by Peter Zeihan

1 min read

48 thoughts on “Review: The Accidental Superpower by Peter Zeihan

  1. “Only the USA remains unscathed and emerges more powerful than before”. This book written by an American by any chance?
    Projecting existing trends is always a hazardous endeavour, especially when the neutrality of your source is questionable. Existing trends can always be shaken up by revolutions.
    Are you getting a sizeable commission for selling this book? I love your channel, but this is by far your worst video, which is nothing more than a 9 minute advert.
    More videos like this and I will unsubscribe, because I take care what I expose my mind to.

  2. One year later, the oil and gas price is low enough, a global pandemy stopped and slowed exchanges and travel for a while, so in a World where US oil and gas is very expensive to extract compared to UAE's or Russian one, it does not look promising for that US industry. The author also neglects that the US power and economy got this big exactly because of the global projection. Shrinking it comes with others filling the gap, not only militarily, but also economically. Seems to be a quite simplistic view in this book.

  3. I believe it was also on this channel that I heard that Stratfor analyzed Argentina as possible great-power instead of Brazil. Could someone explain to me what are the points observed for this statement? How is Argentina better positioned than Brazil?

  4. I have listened to some of Zeihan's lectures and he seems to have a blind spot on the renewable energy sector. It is developing very fast in terms of production, distribution and storage and may well eclipse the importance of the shale revolution. China for example could greatly benefit since it does not currently have energy independence. India similarly. India is also working on Thorium reactors. Also I haven't heard him talk about global warming and the backlash against shale or the fact that renewables are making shale less economic to exploit. His work would benefit from more focus on emerging technologies.

  5. Highly recommend this book. Eye opening. In a nut shell, for a secure future, you need healthy demographics (2.1 births per female), food and energy security. Book deep dives demographics and why this is so important (sorry zero pop. growth crowd). Zehans blind spot, however, is culture and political structures.

  6. The trends of eighteen months ago have totally reversed. Shale is dying due to the collapse in the global economy. Red China has fallen from grace because of the pandemic and its deceits. My how things have changed.

  7. His one conclusion that lobbyist will forever influence American politics particularly the Israeli doesnt seem to adding any weight as the Israeli has been trying to start a war with Iran for the past months. It seems Zeihan might be right to some extend that America is pushing itself further into isolationism and resolve to focus on its own affairs. The fact that Iran bombed a Saudi oil field and a base in Iraq with US soldiers on the ground didnt result in full on war pretty much tells you America is on longer interested in the Middle-East. The trade deals with Mexico, Canada, South Korea, and Japan is done. Its only the UK left and America is done with the world. The fact that NATO issue has still not been resolve and the current environment focus entirely on America instead of Foreign Affairs means its America center from now on.

  8. America gets one President who doesn't want to invade every country that hasn't sent the US a Christmas card in a while…
    Everyone: THE WORLD IS GOING TO COMPLETELY CHANGE FOREVER

  9. With the new discoveries, Israel is sitting on more natural gas and oil than the KSA so they are only getting stronger from here on out. Also, for the first time they have allies against a common enemy; Saudi Arabia, UAE, etc.

  10. Great if you could produce a video on the decolonisation of the U.S.'s remnant overseas territories, i.e. whether transfer of sovereignty might work and if so, for which territories? American Samoa to independent Samoa?  Or if any territory has the population size for full independence and if so , which ones?  Only Puerto Rico?   Also, what practically might the U.S. do ahead of transfer of sovereignty or independence to try to ensure success (e.g. for Hong Kong, the U.K. had various infrastructure projects including the new airport, MTR lines and convention centre and yet things have stumbled because of politics).  Which territories need new airports, ports, subway/tram lines, roads, convention centres and hurricane shelters?  Would full or almost full democracy (direct voting for the Chief Executive), new multilingual / multicultural policies and adoption of new currencies ahead of decolonisation help transition.

  11. Shirvan should study more of Peter Zeihan's books. Shirvan is great at gathering and presenting facts, facts, facts… but then when he attempts analysis, there are these gaps in his understanding of pertinent connections, motivations, and structural issues. They show up particularly in his analysis of the EU's future and capabilities. Overall, this is a great channel though, and I was delighted to see that he's at least gotten some exposure to the subtler issues Zeihan discusses.

  12. Wrong. China will get ever stronger and the USA will lose their power as internal demographic changes will reflect upon the stability of the USA itself. China is a technological superpower and grows to be ever more independent from western industry which is located there.
    Financially, China holds the USA in in its hands. The EU will dissolve or will be divided into three or 4 parts. The USA will try to cement their influence in Europe and try to stand in the way of a Russian-German alliance so the USA will continue to finance and politically support the artificial "Intermarium" which is nothing more then an anti Russian and anti German buffer zone.

  13. Zeihan is clearly a moron. How incredibly wrong Zeihan is wrong the "United" States of America will dicentefrate into several United States of America.

    Zeihan, another crackpot USA nationalist. Want to read what will happen to the USA read Alexi De Torqueville's Democracy in Americas. Now that was an intellectual not another pseudo crackpot dingo like Zeihan.

    The USA will see a second civil war before the end of the century.

  14. This book is based on the assumption that as soon as the US withdraw from patrolling the world with its navy there will be:
    – A spike of piracy
    – National navies will attack commercial vassels
    – No other country (or group of countries) have the capability to fill the vaccum

    I'm not sure what you guys think, but I hardly believe that all the above will occur.

  15. Once US general Mc Artur predicted" S korea has no chance to come out of poverty." Now we see the prediction is nothing for selling a book. China has been exiting since two and half thousand years.At the 19th century eight powers USA, GB, France, Russia, Japan, Italy, Germany and including my country Austrian empire destroyed and looted China. The oldest civilisation of the world( China) reborn in the world stage under chairman Mao Zedong. We'll see which power will collapse in the future.

  16. Peter Zeihan theories are good but as I research his books, I came to the conclusion that, however logic and well thought, there are major holes in his reasoning. He doesn't take into account of the major depopulation trend that is about to hit the world. He also doesn't take into account of the impact that climate changes will force upon the population of the world … particularly on the forces migration imposed to those living in the coastal area. His vision is good but incomplete… and he has been proved wrong on many occasions (EI the collapse of China). In short, his reasoning are based on data and logic on human response and behaviors… but mankind has been shown to act illogically and emotionally more than once and especially in times of crisis. Never underestimate the survival instinct of an individual or a group. His book is good as long as you do not include crisis… as crisis have a tendency to change the nature of the game.

    PS, I'm expecting a major baby boom following the events of 2020. but that book is more enlightening for what will happen in the future : https://www.amazon.ca/dp/0771050887/?coliid=IV4DLNSGYRFV3&colid=2A3W51YCI31UI&psc=1&ref_=lv_ov_lig_dp_it check it out.

  17. Great book. However the writer seems very patriotic and to his opinion and study the only place on earth that would be spared by the geopolitical doomsday is the USA. What about Bhutan! New technology and new potential agreements between countries are not taken into consideration everyone wants to just do business with the USA.
    The last part about climate change again, just the usa will be spared that seems very unrealistic, many countries will struggle but others will have advantages from it.

  18. They accidentally committed genocide and stole first nations land. These Europeans did these atrocities around the globe. Now they keep the first nations in absolute poverty and hord the first nations wealth and commit atrocities around the globe. the end.

  19. America's geographic situation and monolithic nature may in fact protect it from the re-emerging turmoil of the old world, but it is not likely to enjoy the peace. The US's problems are internal and our history over the next thirty years will be written at home, and it will be at least tumultuous.

  20. From what I'm gathering from this review, this analysis does not take into account the major dominance of how technology and it's effects on globalization will effect future shifts. This is akin to predicting how the world will evolve just prior to the age of discovery without any accounting for the age of discovery, i.e…. useless. I did not read the book and am basing this on what I've ascertained from this review, but if the book put what I believe proper emphasis would be on this technological shift with it's implications on globalization, then the presentation would have had to include them as a dominant feature of the book, which from what I can gather from the review, it did not. Furthermore, such a seismic shift is by nature unpredictable. There are just too many variables, so the best one can do is explore possibilities.

  21. Yeah anyone who claims that japan is going to assert itself over china again despite having far worse demographics. far worse resource access and far worse debt has no credibility talking about asia.

  22. The book was a surprisingly comprehensive study on geopolitics. And most of his conclusion have proven to be true over time. This book was produced pre-Trump and yet, most of the conclusions about the US abandoning the Bretton Woods system is happening. It gives one a reason to continue to refer to this book as further events play out in the next ten years. I had low expectations of the book because I have watched Peter's talks and found them to be very simplistic, but in this book he puts significant meat on the bones of his analysis. I learned a great deal from this book about nations such as Angola and Uzbekistan that I would have never known and not to mention I didn't realize their significance until reading this book.

    I have already ordered his follow on book, Absent Superpower.

  23. … You wasted my precious time … Sounds like a Fanciful work of Fiction … just like the "End of Time" trash written about 25 years ago …
    … Earns a place for it in Trash Bin, rather than a Bookshelf …

  24. The content of your videos is absolutely outstanding and eloquent. If you could make a video on strengths and liabilities of US containment policy during cold war or give us a book a review if there is any in the market I will be obliged.

  25. I fully agree with your point about the influence of powerful lobbying groups on US foreign policy (I'd say all policy).
    I believe the United States Congress is a collection of corporate stooges.

  26. Zeihan's presentation is great but is analysis is pretty lacking. For instance he seems to completely ignore ideology in general while giving an exaggerate amount of importance to geography. His very strong US bias where US somehow miraculously dodge every bullets tend to make his works sound more like wishful thinking at times rather than cold, hard analysis. I prefer your work much more to be honest, it's a lot more encompassing and with very little bias in the way.

  27. Peter Zeihan and George Friedman are both excellent thinkers who understand that population and geography are very important elements of all countries. Both are Americans who rely upon facts and not stereotypes of nations.

  28. The gaping hole in Zeihan's thesis is that shale oil has not been profitable for the U.S since inception while the net energy extracted from both crude and shale oil approaches EROI levels of 1:1. It doesn't matter how much reserves of crude oil or natural gas a country has if the net energy extracted is less than the energy required for extraction and transportation. It is simple biophysics and thermodynamics. Shale oil is a ponzi scheme of epic proportions. In Q1 19' the largest 30 U.S shale companies lost $3 Billion. How long do you think that is sustainable? Far from being energy independent the U.S continues to import 7MBD in oil from abroad.

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